STRATEGIC IMPACT
Number 3/2007

3[24]/2007
Contents
THE POLITICAL-MILITARY PRESENT
Present and future dimensions of the European Neighbourhood Policy - Mircea MUREŞAN, PhD
GEOPOLITICS AND GEOSTRATEGIES ON THE FUTURE’S TRAJECTORY
Risks categories and their influence over the human resources - Sanda IORDACHE
The United Kingdom will continue to fulfil its obligations to the United Nations, coalition, to the government and people of Iraq - Editorial staff
NATO AND EU: POLITICS, STRATEGIES, AND ACTIONS
Mission ISAF, a-t-elle une chance de reussir? - Jan EICHLER, PhD
ESDP and the EU member states’ Security and Defence Policy - Petre DUŢU, PhD, Irina POLEANSCHI
The originality of the EU political system comparing to an international organization of integration - Mădălina Virginia ANTONESCU
Euroregions - path to ensure the unity and the diversity of Europe - Silviu NEGUŢ, PhD, Liviu Bogdan Vlad, PhD, Marius Cristian NEACŞU
SECURITY AND MILITARY STRATEGY
The intelligence flow design - VictorBOBOC
INFORMATIONAL SOCIETY. PEACE AND WAR
Knowledge-Based Warfare (Cognitive Warfare) - Eugen SITEANU, PhD
ANALYSIS. SYNTHESIS. EVALUATIONS
US Strategic Defence Strategy and the collapse of communism in USSR - Dorel BUŞE, PhD
Power indicators and strategic intentions of North Korea - Marina MUSCAN
STRATEGIC EVENT
New initiatives of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) - Vasile POPA
POINT OF VIEWS
Policy and strategy of the state - Jaroslaw GRYZ, PhD
REVIEWS
Vulnerability, risk, threat. Security as a psycho-social representation
Space and the future of war
CDSSS’ AGENDA
The activities of the Centre for Defence and Security Strategic Studies, July - September 2007 - Irina CUCU
Instructions for authors
Present and future dimensions of the European Neighbourhood Policy - Mircea MUREŞAN, PhD
Regions with a strategic importance, such as the Middle East, the South Caucasus, and Central Asia are upported by UE in the field of security and development. To these regions another one was added, the Black Sea one. This happened also because Romania has become an UE member on January 1, 2007. The European Council has dedicated a special chapter to the Black Sea region in its strategy for Central Asia. The active presence of EU in these regions, especially in the first semester of 2007, when the Union’s presidency belonged to Germany, reveals a development of the role of the organization in establishing, developing and offering a better security to these strategic regions.
For the new European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP), designed under the German presidency, EU tries to develop cooperation on multiple levels, especially on economic level. Even if the specialists’ analysis foresee many unexplored elements, our opinions lead to the conclusion that the so-called ENP Plus concept includes a more decisive attitude, extremely favourable, but also visionary, at the Eastern border, without excluding the EU southern border, for a better security, stability and a better government beyond its geographical borders.
Risks categories and their influence over the human resources - Sanda IORDACHE
Focusing over the geopolitical and geo-strategic interest areas (with a special regard on Romania’s areas of interest), the author underlines that they do not have a separate existence from the human environment. The human environment from our country’s areas of interest, strongly influenced by different categories of risks, bears significant changes. In this dynamic, complex, unpredictable environment’s reality, man assumes resulting risks, direct or indirect inter-relating with a variety of systems and processes that can constitute challenges, dangers and threats trying to diminish, to manage or, in any case, to adapt to its requests and exigencies. The author’s analysis stresses out the risks’ policies impact over human resources and the impact of the political-military transformation within the Euro-Atlantic space over them.
Mission ISAF, a-t-elle une chance de reussir? - Jan EICHLER, PhD
Le déroulement des événements de l’Afghanistan préoccupe la communauté internaţionale. Voila pourquoi celle-la s’implique active et responsable dans la solution des problèmes de ce pays. La mission ISAF constitue la modalité concrète par la quelle s’agit en Afghanistan pour stabiliser de la situation et instaurer la paix. Son succès dépende de beaucoup de variables et des facteurs intérieurs et étrangers.
ESDP and the EU member states’ Security and Defence Policy - Petre DUŢU, PhD, Irina POLEANSCHI
European Union, a significant economical actor, is building its both political and military role. In this frame, EU has a profound interest in crises and conflicts management in Europe and all over the world. In this purpose, EU is developing the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) with a military component – European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP). ESDP seems to have a powerful impact over national defence and security policies of the EU member states.
The originality of the EU political system comparing to an international organization of integration - Mădălina Virginia ANTONESCU
European Union is an original type of political system, despite certain similarities with a specific subject of international law: the international organization of integration. This article is in fact, a legal approach on the true nature of EU, by using a comparison between this entity and the organizations of integration existing at this time in different regions of the world. Starting with a definition of the international organization of integration in the international law, and defining also, the term of “supranational”, the article is trying to compare EU with this new type of legal subjects, from many perspectives: the constitutive act; the relations established between the member states and the organization as such; the existence of the real transfer of sovereign rights from the member states to the organization; the legislative powers of the political institutions belonging to the organization and those belonging to the EU; the supranational character of the organizational law; the legal regime of dissolution; the existence of a supranational citizenship; the institutional autonomy of the organization in relation with the member states, etc.
Euroregions - path to ensure the unity and the diversity of Europe - Silviu NEGUŢ, PhD, Liviu Bogdan Vlad, PhD, Marius Cristian NEACŞU
A Europe of regions may be seen and construed in a myriad of ways. This paper aims to demonstrate that Euroregions, this particular type of cross-border regions, stand for one of the effective means of supporting the European edifice. Regionalism is viewed not in the sense of fragmentation (“fragments of Europe”, as some authors state) but in an opposite manner, that of “gathering” the regions (in the sense of diminishing the various discrepancies) in order to smooth the way towards European integration. The authors lay emphasis on the elements that highlight the importance of Euroregions in the view of the European completion: a) they contribute to the diminishing of tensions and preservation of area stability; b) they play a role in the surpassing the negative historical heritage; c) they play a part in the surpassing of economic difficulties; d) they lead to the training of those countries aspiring to unite their destiny with the future of Europe, the European Union respectively.
The intelligence flow design - VictorBOBOC
The article is trying to present some key aspects related to the way in which the flow of information is seen today within a military intelligence structure. Starting from the Informative Cycle, the article is focusing on a J2 typical functional cycle and is stressing more on the way in which this informational flow could influence the performances of the respective structures. From the research perspective, the article is also focusing upon some new concepts designed in such a manner to allow the informational flow’s optimization and also to improve the structural functionality of the respective J2 structure. Beside the respective algorithms that could be applied in order to improve the informational flow, the article points out how this flow can influence the J2 structure content.
Knowledge-Based Warfare (Cognitive Warfare) - Eugen SITEANU, PhD
Following the more recent interest shown by the American University scientific research environment for the expression “knowledge-based warfare”, this paper stresses out the decisive role of knowledge and its development in military and political strategic context, in view of networking leading to the development of thinking in operations and battles by using several intellectual tools that ensure winning and maintaining the cognitive superiority.
US Strategic Defence Strategy and the collapse of communism in USSR - Dorel BUŞE, PhD
In November 198 0, Ronald Reagan was elected president and initiated an aggressive foreign policy, proving the indisputable supremacy and invulnerability of the USA. During a speech, on the 8th of March 1983, he denounced the Soviet empire, considering it ”an empire of evil” whose end was imminent, and on the 23rd of March he announced the intention to develop a strategic defence against the Soviet rockets. The USSR had become too weak to challenge this potential vulnerability. Thus, the military policy of the American president and his arming programme forced the Soviet Union to suffocate, the Soviets admitting the economic failure and the incapacity to compete with the U.S.A.
Power indicators and strategic intentions of North Korea - Marina MUSCAN
Another country that has a surprising evolution in the Asia-Pacific region is North Korea as it survived to major challenges coming both from interior and from exterior (the crumbling of the Berlin Wall, the demise of the Soviet Union the end of the Cold War, spreading famine, natural disasters, and the death of Kim Il Sung) and, with its nuclear and missile brinkmanship programme it has drown the attention of the entire international community upon itself. Although the country was confronted with famine during the 90s and although it has faced a constant economic deficit for the last ten years, although its natural resources are diminishing and it has serious agriculture problems, North Korea has managed to contradict all the predictions regarding its dissolution, for now. Using its nuclear policy, it has become a focus of regional and global prime-time coverage, posing security risks to its neighbours. Therefore, no one of these neighbours presumes that, during an intervention, North Korea would surrender quietly without provoking a huge mess, a mess that no outside neighbouring power would be willing to clean up. North Korea survives in a region with powerful neighbours by cultivating an image of power and irrationality at the international level, as a result of its own military power indicator and its own nuclear policy.
Policy and strategy of the state - Jaroslaw GRYZ, PhD
The article concentrates on the states possibility to conduct policy and strategy in the social environment, through shaping it basing on a vision, mission and task – aims that define the structures of the state authorities, and finally through the ability or its lack to counter threats, face challenges, take advantage of existing and potential opportunities. The range of the undertaken activities, their scope in time and space decide if the state is capable or incapable of: accomplishing its mission which is to ensure the existence and development of the society; pursuing a defined vision of the state and society, thus shaping a desired existence and development; creating and achieving defined tasks that aim at ensuring the existence and development. The state as a political power entity is an imperative of an immediate and long-term policy and strategy of those ones who influence its shape and character. Therefore, the way to ensure the existence and development of the state in changeable social and political conditions depends largely on the ability to create and implement the strategy as a form of carrying out a long-term policy which is deeply rooted in values, needs, interests and aims that basically should be the derivative of the society’s aspirations. This article reflects on the role of policy and strategy in shaping the state. It refers to the theory of the problem showing the ways – methods to shape the policy and strategy of the state. The viewpoints presented in the article concentrate on: the state, its policy and strategy, the role of strategic review in their carrying out; the importance of policy and strategy for the state; the issue of policy and strategy establishing (formulating); conclusions for Poland resulting from the undertaken considerations. The result of the considerations is to show a relatively complex image of policy and strategy formulating and their role in shaping the state.
